I didn’t mean to suggest they were manufacturing at cost; quite the opposite! I was saying they weren’t going as fast as they possibly could, e.g. as fast as they would go if they were being paid $10K per vaccine −50% for each month of delay.
Thanks for the data point about doses manufactured so far; that does indeed look like they are ramping up production, though idk if it’s exponential, I’d want to see a graph. This is good evidence against my theory.
If production were exponential but administration were exponential-then-linear then there should be massive stockpiles of unused vaccines by now. Are there?
I didn’t mean to suggest they were manufacturing at cost; quite the opposite! I was saying they weren’t going as fast as they possibly could, e.g. as fast as they would go if they were being paid $10K per vaccine −50% for each month of delay.
Thanks for the data point about doses manufactured so far; that does indeed look like they are ramping up production, though idk if it’s exponential, I’d want to see a graph. This is good evidence against my theory.
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2021/world/covid-vaccinations-tracker.html is a graph of vaccine doses administered worldwide. It looks like in the beginning there was exponential growth and now there’s linear growth.
Right, but again, I’m talking in the OP about production, not administration.
If production were exponential but administration were exponential-then-linear then there should be massive stockpiles of unused vaccines by now. Are there?
Yes: https://www.axios.com/covid-astrazeneca-vaccine-us-doses-world-india-5a93ffad-dd9b-47a3-923a-9b62e6ed316d.html