I feel like you’re straw-manning scenario analysis. Here’s an actual example of a document produced via scenario analysis: Global Trends 2035.
I feel like you’re straw-manning scenario analysis.
I am.
But if we’re going to analyse scenario planning seriously—which I certainly didn’t here—we need to look at older scenario planning attempts, and see how useful they were.
If you admit that this is an unfair strawman, then why are you bothering to post it?
Caricatures can be highly useful as pointers at particular failure spots. Caricatures and parodies are, by definition, “unfair strawmen”.
It’s a partially unfair strawman. And it is labelled a parody.
I feel like you’re straw-manning scenario analysis. Here’s an actual example of a document produced via scenario analysis: Global Trends 2035.
I am.
But if we’re going to analyse scenario planning seriously—which I certainly didn’t here—we need to look at older scenario planning attempts, and see how useful they were.
If you admit that this is an unfair strawman, then why are you bothering to post it?
Caricatures can be highly useful as pointers at particular failure spots. Caricatures and parodies are, by definition, “unfair strawmen”.
It’s a partially unfair strawman. And it is labelled a parody.