My intent was to summarize the literature on SPRs, not provide an account for why they are not used more widely. I almost didn’t include that sentence at all. Surely, more analysis would be important to have in a post intending to discuss the psychological issues involved in our reaction to SPRs, but that was not my subject.
In pointing to cognitive biases as an explanation, I was merely repeating what Bishop & Trout & Dawes have suggested on the matter, not making up my own explanations in light of LW lore.
In fact, the arrows point the other way. Many of the authors cited in my article worked closely with people like Kahneman who are the original academic sources of much of LW lore.
Edit: I’ve added a clause about the source of the “cognitive biases” suggestion, in case others are tempted to make the same mistaken assumption as you made.
My intent was to summarize the literature on SPRs, not provide an account for why they are not used more widely. I almost didn’t include that sentence at all. Surely, more analysis would be important to have in a post intending to discuss the psychological issues involved in our reaction to SPRs, but that was not my subject.
In pointing to cognitive biases as an explanation, I was merely repeating what Bishop & Trout & Dawes have suggested on the matter, not making up my own explanations in light of LW lore.
In fact, the arrows point the other way. Many of the authors cited in my article worked closely with people like Kahneman who are the original academic sources of much of LW lore.
Edit: I’ve added a clause about the source of the “cognitive biases” suggestion, in case others are tempted to make the same mistaken assumption as you made.