…illustrate that slowing things down is all that’s being aimed at. Which is good, because it’s too late anyway. There would not be any drivers to test if this was a real attempt at containment.
If the estimate of 65% more infectious is correct: The strain doubles every week under conditions where other strains are stable.
I disagree. It’s popular to say “mass testing isn’t as good as shutting down the economy”. But there are three problems with that argument.
We don’t have a policy levers (state capacity or political will) to shut down the economy more than currently.
Shutting down the economy further would cause more costs than gains.
I disagree. It’s popular to say “mass testing isn’t as good as shutting down the economy”. But there are three problems with that argument.
We don’t have a policy levers (state capacity or political will) to shut down the economy more than currently.
Shutting down the economy further would cause more costs than gains.
The evidence from Slovakia indicates that mass testing does work—https://www.medrxiv.org/content/medrxiv/early/2020/12/04/2020.12.02.20240648.full.pdf
We need more experiments and new policies. Not to stay stuck in an endless lockdown-no-lockdown debate.
Misunderstood that the drivers are leaving England for the rest of Europe. The statements make sense now.