From a mere act of the imagination we cannot learn anything about the real world.
To suppose that the resulting probability assignments have any real physical meaning is
just another form of the mind projection fallacy. In practice, this diverts our attention to
irrelevancies and away from the things that really matter (such as information about the
real world that is not expressible in terms of any sampling distribution, or does not fit
into the urn picture, but which is nevertheless highly cogent for the inferences we want to
make). Usually, the price paid for this folly is missed opportunities; had we recognized that
information, more accurate and/or more reliable inferences could have been made.
-- E T Jaynes Probability Theory the Logic of Science
-- E T Jaynes Probability Theory the Logic of Science