Are you claiming that price per computation would drop in absolute terms, or compared with the world in which Moore’s law continued? The first one seems unobjectionable, the default state of everything is for prices to fall since there’ll be innovation in other parts of the supply chain. The second one seems false. Basic counter-argument: if it were true, why don’t people produce chips from a decade ago which are cheaper per amount of computation than the ones being produced today?
1. You wouldn’t have to do R&D, you could just copy old chip designs.
2. You wouldn’t have to keep upgrading your chip fabs, you could use old ones.
3. People could just keep collecting your old chips without getting rid of them.
4. Patents on old chip designs have already expired.
Are you claiming that price per computation would drop in absolute terms, or compared with the world in which Moore’s law continued? The first one seems unobjectionable, the default state of everything is for prices to fall since there’ll be innovation in other parts of the supply chain. The second one seems false. Basic counter-argument: if it were true, why don’t people produce chips from a decade ago which are cheaper per amount of computation than the ones being produced today?
1. You wouldn’t have to do R&D, you could just copy old chip designs.
2. You wouldn’t have to keep upgrading your chip fabs, you could use old ones.
3. People could just keep collecting your old chips without getting rid of them.
4. Patents on old chip designs have already expired.