Are people still interested in continuing? No one picked up the leadership torch as Morendil had asked, so I suppose he is well justified in not picking it up again himself. I don’t want to be a real “leader” here, but it makes sense to me to suggest the assignment of reading through section 3.7 and exercises through 3.5 (in the book) by, say, the 29th. Someone else can suggest the next chunk if they wish.
I would request that anyone who wants to proceed respond to this comment. My guess is that we only have a half-dozen or so left, but it would be nice to know for sure.
I think you need a top-level post to really reach everyone; comments scroll by too fast for the casual reader. One lessons-learned top-level post asking the original 90 participants “what happened for you” would be appropriate, I was intending to post it on coming back to collect suggestions for improvement.
Right now I’m leaning against. It is a bigger job than I want to attempt for my posting debut. Sorry. Maybe someday.
But the basic idea was mentioned in this comment and there are links to some follow-up material in some of the comments. It is not that big a deal, but it seems to me that everything becomes a little more intuitive when you are adding and subtracting “surprisals” rather than multiplying and dividing probabilities.
I’m interested in continuing. I was working on the exercises you list when the study group started. Since I’m looking at the same stuff as everyone else now, and because it’s a little tougher for me, I should be more active from here on out.
On vacation still, but will pick up the topic again on my return next week, in some form or other. Even if the study group has died out (there was at least one prediction to that effect), I remain interested in probability for professional reasons, and I’ll be calling on LW to help with a series of articles I intend to write on Bayesian thinking applied to project planning and task estimation.
Uh. Hello? Is anybody out there?
Are people still interested in continuing? No one picked up the leadership torch as Morendil had asked, so I suppose he is well justified in not picking it up again himself. I don’t want to be a real “leader” here, but it makes sense to me to suggest the assignment of reading through section 3.7 and exercises through 3.5 (in the book) by, say, the 29th. Someone else can suggest the next chunk if they wish.
I would request that anyone who wants to proceed respond to this comment. My guess is that we only have a half-dozen or so left, but it would be nice to know for sure.
I think you need a top-level post to really reach everyone; comments scroll by too fast for the casual reader. One lessons-learned top-level post asking the original 90 participants “what happened for you” would be appropriate, I was intending to post it on coming back to collect suggestions for improvement.
You mentioned that you had better explanations for some ch 2 material, still planning to post?
Right now I’m leaning against. It is a bigger job than I want to attempt for my posting debut. Sorry. Maybe someday.
But the basic idea was mentioned in this comment and there are links to some follow-up material in some of the comments. It is not that big a deal, but it seems to me that everything becomes a little more intuitive when you are adding and subtracting “surprisals” rather than multiplying and dividing probabilities.
I’m interested in continuing. I was working on the exercises you list when the study group started. Since I’m looking at the same stuff as everyone else now, and because it’s a little tougher for me, I should be more active from here on out.
Well, since it looks like there are only two or three of us, why don’t we just give it up, and proceed on our own?
Great. But that only makes two of us. Is anyone else still out there?
On vacation still, but will pick up the topic again on my return next week, in some form or other. Even if the study group has died out (there was at least one prediction to that effect), I remain interested in probability for professional reasons, and I’ll be calling on LW to help with a series of articles I intend to write on Bayesian thinking applied to project planning and task estimation.