Do you mean a “prediction of how much time I should spend on each task”?
If so, yes, I basically calculate the recent average spent on each task, and find the offset against the past few days. It gives me a list of tasks which I can sort and get the next task that has the highest chance of being what I should be doing the next day. I run this for a number of day, always appending the forecasted task, and so I get a short term forecast of the next 14 days or so.
No, to be clear, what I interpreted of your post was that you are “prescribing” how much time should be spent. “Predicting” how much time you will spend on something is not particularly helpful in achieving any output results, especially if it’s largely just repeating what you did before. Your response does help in that it clarifies what you have done. It’s just not what I thought you had done. In my experience, a “prescription”—a plan for what you must do to achieve some valuable outcome—is of more use in self-experimentation than a prediction. If, on the other hand, you have a lifestyle that is chaotic and in flux, where estimating time required by novel tasks is a challenge, then yes, a prediction is indeed useful. Thanks for getting back and sorry that my response is a fortnight later.
Could you elaborate on how exactly you went from a collection of data to a prescription of how much time you should spend on each task?
Do you mean a “prediction of how much time I should spend on each task”?
If so, yes, I basically calculate the recent average spent on each task, and find the offset against the past few days. It gives me a list of tasks which I can sort and get the next task that has the highest chance of being what I should be doing the next day. I run this for a number of day, always appending the forecasted task, and so I get a short term forecast of the next 14 days or so.
No, to be clear, what I interpreted of your post was that you are “prescribing” how much time should be spent. “Predicting” how much time you will spend on something is not particularly helpful in achieving any output results, especially if it’s largely just repeating what you did before. Your response does help in that it clarifies what you have done. It’s just not what I thought you had done. In my experience, a “prescription”—a plan for what you must do to achieve some valuable outcome—is of more use in self-experimentation than a prediction. If, on the other hand, you have a lifestyle that is chaotic and in flux, where estimating time required by novel tasks is a challenge, then yes, a prediction is indeed useful. Thanks for getting back and sorry that my response is a fortnight later.