One other element of this discussion: What is the purpose people have in mind for creating the AI in the first place? If we have a clear idea of that, then we can bring some cost-benefit analysis into the discussion.
For example, consider these possible benefits: securing the food supply, securing the energy supply and completing medical research to reduce disease. People will make significant progress in these areas even without any more computing power than they already have.
For instance, I have had conversations with two responsible scientists predicting cancer largely cured within 25 years. These predictions are founded on advancing existing technology-identifying cancer driver mutations, working the bugs out of T-Cell therapies, creating targeted biologics and (dumb) nanotechnology, improving imaging methods, improving medication adherence and prevention.
We probably do not need AGI to solve climate change. I do have concerns that we willbe unable to prevent armed conflict using wmd.
Putting that one aside for a moment, without AGI, we may still be able to chart our way toward abundant, healthier, longer and more entertaining lives. Live forever? Probably not.
Nevertheless, given everything progress will offer without AGI, there are some good reasons not to rock the boat.
One other element of this discussion: What is the purpose people have in mind for creating the AI in the first place? If we have a clear idea of that, then we can bring some cost-benefit analysis into the discussion.
For example, consider these possible benefits: securing the food supply, securing the energy supply and completing medical research to reduce disease. People will make significant progress in these areas even without any more computing power than they already have.
For instance, I have had conversations with two responsible scientists predicting cancer largely cured within 25 years. These predictions are founded on advancing existing technology-identifying cancer driver mutations, working the bugs out of T-Cell therapies, creating targeted biologics and (dumb) nanotechnology, improving imaging methods, improving medication adherence and prevention.
We probably do not need AGI to solve climate change. I do have concerns that we willbe unable to prevent armed conflict using wmd.
Putting that one aside for a moment, without AGI, we may still be able to chart our way toward abundant, healthier, longer and more entertaining lives. Live forever? Probably not.
Nevertheless, given everything progress will offer without AGI, there are some good reasons not to rock the boat.