Someone on the internet may also have fairly high confidence (>50%) of getting 5x returns on one of two or three bets on a roulette table, but that doesn’t make it a good idea.
Crypto markets are rather more opaque and subject to both mistakes and various forms of fraud than roulette tables. Even when certain bets might be fundamentally sound, the various steps in the Rube Goldberg financial contraptions you have to work through to carry them out each add their own risks, usually large enough to wipe out the expected value of the bet.
Someone on the internet may also have fairly high confidence (>50%) of getting 5x returns on one of two or three bets on a roulette table, but that doesn’t make it a good idea.
Crypto markets are rather more opaque and subject to both mistakes and various forms of fraud than roulette tables. Even when certain bets might be fundamentally sound, the various steps in the Rube Goldberg financial contraptions you have to work through to carry them out each add their own risks, usually large enough to wipe out the expected value of the bet.