I wonder if there’s any math that applies to belief-in-general that gives rules of thumb or something for dealing with model uncertainty, like some sort of Laplace rule or something that takes as input how many times / by how much one has up until now updated one’s beliefs by adding models / hypotheses / concepts.
I wonder if there’s any math that applies to belief-in-general that gives rules of thumb or something for dealing with model uncertainty, like some sort of Laplace rule or something that takes as input how many times / by how much one has up until now updated one’s beliefs by adding models / hypotheses / concepts.