What Liliet B said. Low priors will screw with you even after a “definitive” experiment. You might also want to take a look at this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XTXWPQSEgoMkAupKt/an-intuitive-explanation-of-bayes-s-theorem
What Liliet B said. Low priors will screw with you even after a “definitive” experiment. You might also want to take a look at this: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/XTXWPQSEgoMkAupKt/an-intuitive-explanation-of-bayes-s-theorem