In summary, saying “accident” makes it sounds like an unpredictable effect, instead of painfully obviously risk that was not taken seriously enough.
Personally, I usually associate “accident” with “painfully obvious risk that was not actually mitigated” (note the difference in wording from “not taken seriously enough”). IIUC, that’s usually how engineering/industrial “accidents” work, and that is the sort of association I’d expect someone used to thinking about industrial “accidents” to have.
This doesn’t seem to disagree with David’s argument? “Accident” implies a lack of negligence. “Not taken seriously enough” points at negligence. I think you are saying that non-negligent but “painfully obvious” harms that occur are “accidents”, which seems fair. David is saying that the scenarios he is imagining are negligent and therefore not accidents. These seem compatible.
I understand David to be saying that there is a substantial possibility of x-risk due to negligent but non-intended events, maybe even the majority of the probability. These would sit between “accident” and “misuse” (on both of your definitions).
Personally, I usually associate “accident” with “painfully obvious risk that was not actually mitigated” (note the difference in wording from “not taken seriously enough”). IIUC, that’s usually how engineering/industrial “accidents” work, and that is the sort of association I’d expect someone used to thinking about industrial “accidents” to have.
This doesn’t seem to disagree with David’s argument? “Accident” implies a lack of negligence. “Not taken seriously enough” points at negligence. I think you are saying that non-negligent but “painfully obvious” harms that occur are “accidents”, which seems fair. David is saying that the scenarios he is imagining are negligent and therefore not accidents. These seem compatible.
I understand David to be saying that there is a substantial possibility of x-risk due to negligent but non-intended events, maybe even the majority of the probability. These would sit between “accident” and “misuse” (on both of your definitions).