No one in the world has figured out the true theory of history. If they did, we’d know: they’d be extremely, visibly, powerful.
This assertion seems to make some implicit assumptions about the true theory of history in itself. Another thing is, “figuring out” is not binary: you can have some insights that take you some of the way, and still there can be a lot of room to do better.
By the way, to the extent that most people care about history at all, they seem to mostly use it to justify the narratives they already believe in rather than actually making predictions.
This assertion seems to make some implicit assumptions about the true theory of history in itself. Another thing is, “figuring out” is not binary: you can have some insights that take you some of the way, and still there can be a lot of room to do better.
By the way, to the extent that most people care about history at all, they seem to mostly use it to justify the narratives they already believe in rather than actually making predictions.