A few starting points for relevant and rigorous research:
http://www.ted.com/talks/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future.html (this guy’s stuff is more targeted at popular audiences, but he’s a good gateway to a directly relevant field)
Anything by Thomas Schelling (great introduction to nonzero sum game theory in general)
http://www.amazon.com/Solving-War-Puzzle-Beyond-Democratic/dp/0890894825 (statisticians have done some decent work on the real causes of war; tangentially relevant)
Thanks!
A few starting points for relevant and rigorous research:
http://www.ted.com/talks/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future.html (this guy’s stuff is more targeted at popular audiences, but he’s a good gateway to a directly relevant field)
Anything by Thomas Schelling (great introduction to nonzero sum game theory in general)
http://www.amazon.com/Solving-War-Puzzle-Beyond-Democratic/dp/0890894825 (statisticians have done some decent work on the real causes of war; tangentially relevant)
Thanks!