Yeah, I agree that this is a strong possibility, as I wrote in this essay. Parts of it are wrong, but I think it has a few good ideas, especially this bit:
When the AI is as smart as all the world’s AI researchers working together, it will produce new AI insights at the rate that all the world’s AI researchers working together produce new insights. At some point our AGI will be just as smart as the world’s AI researchers, but we can hardly expect to start seeing super-fast AI progress at that point, because the world’s AI researchers haven’t produced super-fast AI progress.
Yeah, I agree that this is a strong possibility, as I wrote in this essay. Parts of it are wrong, but I think it has a few good ideas, especially this bit: