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Matt Clancy AMA on the Progress Forum

jasoncrawfordFeb 12, 2023, 8:23 PM

17 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

(progressforum.org)

Latent variables for prediction markets: motivation, technical guide, and design considerations

tailcalledFeb 12, 2023, 5:54 PM

100 points

25 comments23 min readLW link 2 reviews

The conceptual Doppelgänger problem

TsviBTFeb 12, 2023, 5:23 PM

12 points

5 comments4 min readLW link

How Cardioid Are Cardioids?

jefftkFeb 12, 2023, 4:20 PM

9 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

How many of these jobs will have a 15% or more drop in employment plausibly attributable to AI by 2031?

tailcalledFeb 12, 2023, 3:40 PM

12 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

(manifold.markets)

Human-AI collaborative writing

DirectedEvolutionFeb 12, 2023, 2:57 PM

20 points

2 comments5 min readLW link

RaD-AI workshop

Ram RachumFeb 12, 2023, 12:46 PM

3 points

0 comments1 min readLW link

Elements of Rationalist Discourse

Rob BensingerFeb 12, 2023, 7:58 AM

224 points

49 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Conflict Theory of Bounded Distrust

Zack_M_DavisFeb 12, 2023, 5:30 AM

112 points

33 comments3 min readLW link 1 review

Why almost every RL agent does learned optimization

Lee SharkeyFeb 12, 2023, 4:58 AM

32 points

3 comments5 min readLW link

How I Learn From Textbooks

DirectedEvolutionFeb 12, 2023, 4:45 AM

26 points

3 comments8 min readLW link

Top YouTube channel Veritasium releases video on Sleeping Beauty Problem

Alex_AltairFeb 11, 2023, 8:36 PM

25 points

22 comments1 min readLW link

(www.youtube.com)

Shortening Timelines: There’s No Buffer Anymore

Jeff RoseFeb 11, 2023, 7:53 PM

10 points

5 comments1 min readLW link

We Found An Neuron in GPT-2

Joseph Miller and Clement Neo

Feb 11, 2023, 6:27 PM

143 points

23 comments7 min readLW link

(clementneo.com)

The Practitioner’s Path 2.0: the Pragmatist Archetype

EvenflairFeb 11, 2023, 3:48 PM

21 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

(guildoftherose.org)

The Illusion of Simplicity: Monetary Policy as a Problem of Complexity and Alignment

Edward P. KöningsFeb 11, 2023, 3:04 PM

8 points

0 comments8 min readLW link

(edwardknings.substack.com)

In Defense of Chatbot Romance

Kaj_SotalaFeb 11, 2023, 2:30 PM

124 points

53 comments11 min readLW link

(kajsotala.fi)

Threatening to do the impossible: A solution to spurious counterfactuals for functional decision theory via proof theory

Christopher KingFeb 11, 2023, 7:57 AM

5 points

4 comments5 min readLW link

Rationality-related things I don’t know as of 2023

Adam ZernerFeb 11, 2023, 6:04 AM

64 points

59 comments3 min readLW link

A note on ‘semiotic physics’

metasemiFeb 11, 2023, 5:12 AM

11 points

13 comments6 min readLW link

Inequality Penalty: Morality in Many Worlds

ShmiFeb 11, 2023, 4:08 AM

11 points

17 comments6 min readLW link

The Importance of AI Alignment, explained in 5 points

Daniel_EthFeb 11, 2023, 2:56 AM

33 points

2 comments LW link

Acting Normal is Good, Actually

Gordon Seidoh WorleyFeb 10, 2023, 11:35 PM

14 points

5 comments3 min readLW link

[S] D&D.Sci: All the D8a. Allllllll of it.

aphyerFeb 10, 2023, 9:14 PM

43 points

17 comments6 min readLW link

A Different Kind of Ark: My failed attempt to build a bridge between universes

ChrisMFeb 10, 2023, 8:49 PM

2 points

2 comments6 min readLW link

(www.vesselproject.io)

Prizes for the 2021 Review

RaemonFeb 10, 2023, 7:47 PM

69 points

2 comments4 min readLW link

A proposed method for forecasting transformative AI

Matthew BarnettFeb 10, 2023, 7:34 PM

121 points

21 comments10 min readLW link

The best way so far to explain AI risk: The Precipice (p. 137-149)

trevorFeb 10, 2023, 7:33 PM

53 points

2 comments17 min readLW link

Is this a weak pivotal act: creating nanobots that eat evil AGIs (but nothing else)?

Christopher KingFeb 10, 2023, 7:26 PM

0 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Why I’m not working on {debate, RRM, ELK, natural abstractions}

Steven ByrnesFeb 10, 2023, 7:22 PM

71 points

19 comments10 min readLW link

Conditioning Predictive Models: Open problems, Conclusion, and Appendix

evhub, Adam Jermyn, Johannes Treutlein, Rubi J. Hudson and kcwoolverton

Feb 10, 2023, 7:21 PM

36 points

3 comments11 min readLW link

Jobs that can help with the most important century

HoldenKarnofskyFeb 10, 2023, 6:20 PM

24 points

0 comments19 min readLW link

(www.cold-takes.com)

[Question] Is it a coincidence that GPT-3 requires roughly the same amount of compute as is necessary to emulate the human brain?

RomanSFeb 10, 2023, 4:26 PM

11 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Contra: Changing Role Terms

jefftkFeb 10, 2023, 3:00 PM

8 points

0 comments3 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Cyborgism

NicholasKees and janus

Feb 10, 2023, 2:47 PM

332 points

46 comments35 min readLW link 2 reviews

FLI Podcast: Connor Leahy on AI Progress, Chimps, Memes, and Markets (Part 1/3)

remember and Andrea_Miotti

Feb 10, 2023, 1:55 PM

39 points

0 comments43 min readLW link

[Question] What’s actually going on in the “mind” of the model when we fine-tune GPT-3 to InstructGPT?

rpglover64Feb 10, 2023, 7:57 AM

18 points

3 comments1 min readLW link

Mechanism Design for AI Safety—Agenda Creation Retreat

Rubi J. HudsonFeb 10, 2023, 3:05 AM

24 points

2 comments LW link

[Question] On utility functions

jodaruFeb 10, 2023, 1:22 AM

11 points

10 comments1 min readLW link

Security Mindset—Fire Alarms and Trigger Signatures

elspoodFeb 9, 2023, 9:15 PM

23 points

0 comments4 min readLW link

Impostor syndrome: how to cure it with spreadsheets and meditation

KatWoodsFeb 9, 2023, 9:04 PM

31 points

2 comments19 min readLW link

Conditioning Predictive Models: Deployment strategy

evhub, Adam Jermyn, Johannes Treutlein, Rubi J. Hudson and kcwoolverton

9 Feb 2023 20:59 UTC

28 points

0 comments10 min readLW link

Make Conflict of Interest Policies Public

jefftk9 Feb 2023 19:30 UTC

33 points

7 comments2 min readLW link

(www.jefftk.com)

Curated blind auction prediction markets and a reputation system as an alternative to editorial review in news publication.

ciaran 9 Feb 2023 18:48 UTC

2 points

0 comments2 min readLW link

Tools for finding information on the internet

RomanHauksson9 Feb 2023 17:05 UTC

79 points

11 comments2 min readLW link

(roman.computer)

Covid 2/9/23: Interferon λ

Zvi9 Feb 2023 16:50 UTC

48 points

8 comments12 min readLW link

(thezvi.wordpress.com)

EIS II: What is “Interpretability”?

scasper9 Feb 2023 16:48 UTC

28 points

6 comments4 min readLW link

The Engineer’s Interpretability Sequence (EIS) I: Intro

scasper9 Feb 2023 16:28 UTC

46 points

24 comments3 min readLW link

[Question] Do the Safety Properties of Powerful AI Systems Need to be Adversarially Robust? Why?

DragonGod9 Feb 2023 13:36 UTC

22 points

42 comments2 min readLW link

Which ML skills are useful for finding a new AIS research agenda?

Yonatan Cale9 Feb 2023 13:09 UTC

16 points

1 comment1 min readLW link